Here is Dr. Gerald’s COVID-19 Disease Outbreak Outlook (published today). Below is the narrative summary- but as usual- much more detail is available in the full report.

“While cases on university campuses continue to decline, broader trends in the community continue to slowly worsen. Test positivity for traditional PCR, saliva and antigen testing have converged around 4 – 6%.  

There is a major correction this week with regard to the IHME metric reporting adherence to face mask recommendations. The data being reported on the IHME website seems too inconsistent to be valid. So, I do not think it is a good measure of Arizonan’s adherence. Overall, we remain in a relatively good spot but complacency is a concern moving forward into our traditional viral respiratory season.

I made a few tweaks to the Appendix data to try to improve readability of the most current data, but not sure I am happy with the changes. If someone has different suggestions, please let me know.”