Here is a link to this week’s report. Below is a synopsis, and as always, excellent graphs are in the full report.

Arizona is beginning to transition from a period of substantial risk to one of moderate risk with continuing, albeit smaller, improvements in case counts expected over the coming weeks.

Hospital capacity remains adequate to meet Arizona’s foreseeable needs; however, the backlog of non-Covid care has yet to be fully addressed as evidenced by unseasonably high hospital occupancy.

As of March 19th, 700 (8%) of Arizona’s 8587 general ward beds were occupied by Covid-19 patients, a 14% decrease from the previous week’s 814 occupied beds (Figure 4 and Figure 5 Panel A). Another 978 (11%) beds remained available for use. The number of available beds is lower than the previous week’s 1011 beds.

Covid-19 occupancy has dropped by 86% from its January 11th peak of 5082 ward patients. Nevertheless, hospitals remain above seasonal occupancy.