Arizona Blows Through the 26,000 COVID Death Mark in the Absence of Mitigation from Governor Ducey and Interim Director Herrington

View Dr. Joe Gerald’s Weekly Epidemiology & Hospital Occupancy Report

Arizona blew through the 26,000 COVID death mark this week. Weekly death totals in the upper-300s, mid-400s are likely for several more weeks. Arizona still stands in 2nd place in COVID deaths per capita, trailing only Mississippi.

Within 2-3 weeks Arizona will have the distinction of being:

#1 in COVID deaths per capita (once we pass Mississippi)

#1 in increased all-cause mortality over baseline

The only state in which COVID19 is the leading cause of death

COVID-19 hospital occupancy continues its march upward in the face of no mitigation policy from Governor Ducey & Interim Director Herrington. Hospitals are burdened by >30% occupancy in general wards and in the ICU. Access to care continues to be restricted by both COVID-19 occupancy and staff shortages because of infections among healthcare workers (or their family members).

Arizona continues to have historic levels of community transmission attributable to Omicron and the lack of mitigation policies. Test positivity is incredibly high reminding us that test capacity, accessibility, and/or uptake is wholly inadequate.

As of January 23rd, new cases were being diagnosed at a rate of 1694 cases per 100K residents per week. Rates peaked last week at ~1967 cases per 100K/week, somewhat lower than some other states, perhaps due to less testing. The risk of Omicron infection will remain extremely high for many weeks. Remember, the CDC defines high community transmission as levels >100 cases per 100K residents per week. We’re a far cry from that!

View Dr. Joe Gerald’s Weekly Epidemiology & Hospital Occupancy Report

Join The Hertel Report for their State of the State

 2022 STATE OF THE STATE – The Hertel Report
 Friday, February 11 Breakfast Meeting 8 to 10:30am Phoenix Art Museum, Singer Hall or virtually.

Join the Hertel Report for their annual Arizona healthcare market update hosted and moderated by Publisher Jim Hammond. After breakfast and networking, this year’s panel of guest speakers will deliver the latest insight impacting managed care in Arizona. Prefer to attend virtually? 

Discussion will offer insight into national value-based trends including Arizona’s competitive community of accountable care organizations, value-based networks and direct contracting entities. Get the latest enrollment numbers and news from AHCCCS, take a deep dive into Arizona’s Medicare Advantage (MA) market and explore Arizona Marketplace trends. Arizona’s HIE will also share how better connecting providers across the state

Open Letter to Arizona Corporation Commissioners in Advance of the Clean Energy Rule Vote Tomorrow

Thank you for your service to the people of Arizona through your work on the Commission.
We write today on behalf of the 850 members of the Arizona Public Health Association, urging you to vote yes tomorrow on the Energy Rule package without amendments, particularly the 100% emissions-free electricity by 2050 standard.
 
We encourage you to adopt the draft Rule as the final Rule. We believe that the Rule, as proposed, is comprehensive and incorporates the essential core elements of good public health policy as it will reduce carbon emissions, address our climate crisis, help clean up our air, conserve our water, and improve the health of our communities.
The Commission’s Energy Rules went through a rigorous public input process as evidenced by several elements in the Rule. We are pleased that the Commission’s Energy Rules, which call for 100% carbon-free electricity, are not specific about which technologies need to be used to achieve the goals.
We believe this will lead to more efficient economic decisions over time which will keep rates down. Affordable utility rates are important so that working families have adequate resources to provide a healthy environment for their families.
Energy efficiency and renewable energy help control utility costs, create jobs, and build a cleaner energy future. Jobs created by energy efficiency and renewable energy are likely to pay a living wage and are in fields like installation and will be filled with Arizona residents.
We also support increased investments in distributed solar storage as this will provide residents more ways to save money on their utility bills putting them in a better position to provide resources to improve the health of working families.
Importantly, the Commission’s Energy Rules protect low-income communities at risk of local economic disruptions by including preferential siting of renewable energy projects in communities impacted by the early closure of coal-fired power plants.
There is also good evidence that the general public and specifically voters support clean energy and energy efficiency standards.
The Arizona Public Health Association supports the Commission’s Energy Rules which were developed after years of study, more than a dozen public meetings, thousands of written comments, and hundreds of hours of engagement by interested Arizonans like me.

Arizona Family Health Partnership is Recruiting for Cohort 4 of the Adolescent Champion Model

The Arizona Family Health Partnership (AFHP) is excited to continue supporting the incredible achievements of Adolescent Champions in Arizona. Ten clinics have earned certification as an adolescent-centered environment, ten more clinics are participating in our current cohort, and we are ready to onboard another 10 clinics for our fourth cohort!

The Adolescent Champion Model is centered on the Adolescent Champion team as an agent of change within the clinic to transform it into an adolescent-centered medical home.

The time commitment is fairly minimal over the course of the 18-month program, and it offers an exceptional leadership opportunity for the Champions within the clinic. The program also provides opportunity for CME, MOC Part IV, QI project credit, and certification as an adolescent-centered environment.

Adolescent Champion health centers have shown significant improvement in adolescent patient satisfaction, staff perception of adolescent-centered care within their clinic, and provider comfort and confidence in caring for adolescents.

Check out their Champions!

  • Adelante Healthcare’s Mesa and Peoria Clinics
  • Banner University Medical Center Phoenix
  • Canyon Pediatrics Gilbert and Mesa Clinics
  • Chiricahua’s Mobile Unit and the Pediatric Center of Excellence
  • El Rio El Pueblo
  • Jewish Family and Children’s Services
  • Mariposa Nogales Clinic
  • MHC Oro Valley Pediatrics
  • Mountain Park’s Gateway and Maryvale Clinics
  • Native Health Central
  • NOAH Heuser Family Medicine
  • North Country’s 4th Street Flagstaff and Winslow Clinics
  • Phoenix Children’s Hospital
  • Valleywise Comprehensive Health Center
  • Wesley Community & Health Center

Interested clinics should connect by February 10th; Orientation Webinars are taking place on March 21st and 28th; implementation begins April 1st.   

Contact Adolescent Health Program Manager Tracy Pedrotti if you are interested in learning more: tpedrotti@arizonafamilyhealth.org or 602-688-6260. Thank you!

Center for Medicare & Medicaid Services Approves AHCCCS’ Home & Community Based Services Action Plan

Last week AHCCCS put out an under-stated media release announcing that CMS approved their Home and Community Based Services (HCBS) Spending Plan, which would use $1.5B in mostly American Rescue Plan Act funds over the next 2 years to improve Home and Community Based Services for folks in their Long Term Care Program (ALTCS). Even though this is mostly federal money (it will require some state match) implementing it will require approval of the Legislature and Governor.  We will play a role in trying to make that happen.

Here’s a link to their 30-page plan which is of course written in dense AHCCCS/CMS language – but the takeaway is that they would bump up the per member per month capitation rates by 10% and then have some performance expectations tied to those funds in areas like:

  • Promoting stabilization, access to supportive services, and workforce retention/ consistency to improve member outcomes ($1B)
  • Expanding access to care from a “well-trained, highly-skilled workforce” ($217M)
  • Supporting individual self-sufficiency by connecting members to technological tools and resources that promote independence ($96M)
  • Using new technology to promote care coordination and seamless communication ($74M)
  • Funding local initiatives and community-specific programming to improve member health ($62M)
  • Empowering parents and families to provide care and meet the needs of their kids ($27M)
  • Assessing member engagement and satisfaction to better understand needs, prevent abuse and neglect, and identify opportunities for improvement ($5M)
  • Creating tools that strengthen quality monitoring and prevent abuse and neglect ($3.2M)

AHCCCS’ spending plan has all the particulars for how they want to spend this money in the various categories, but the biggest category by far is the first bullet; to build the caregiver workforce.

The detail on the spending plan is for temporary payments to providers for sign-on bonuses, retention payments, mileage reimbursement, reimbursement for tuition or continuing education, reimbursement for childcare and/or enhanced insurance coverage. 

Because the money ends in March of 2024 “AHCCCS will establish appropriate criteria to ensure that provider recruitment and retention strategies do not create an expectation of ongoing benefits, given the time-limited nature of this funding opportunity“.

For more information about the spending plan and CMS’ response, please visit the AHCCCS ARPA webpage.

Arizona Has the 2nd Highest COVID-19 Death Rate Per Capita During the First 2 Years of the Pandemic

Dr. Gerald’s Weekly COVID-19 Epidemiology & Hospital Occupancy Report

As we pass the 2-year mark for the pandemic, Arizona is distinguished to have the 2nd highest number of COVID-19 deaths per 100,000 in the U.S., with a death rate of 348/100,000. Only Mississippi has a higher COVID death rate at 357/100,000.

Assuming current trends continue (and there’s no reason to believe they won’t- given the lack of interest in mitigation by Doug Ducey & Don Herrington), Arizona will have the highest per-capita COVID death rate in the entire U.S. by mid-February.  A dubious distinction indeed, and one that is mainly attributable to the decisions made by Doug Ducey, ADHS Interim Director Don Herrington, and former ADHS Director Cara Christ.

Summary of this week’s report by Dr. Joe Gerald:

Arizona is experiencing historic levels of community transmission attributable to the dominant Omicron variant. Test positivity is insanely high reminding us that test capacity, accessibility, and/or uptake is wholly inadequate. Transmission (cases) has likely peaked as you read this but expect high levels of hospital through February. The greatest burden on our health care system will remain in hospital wards and emergency departments.

As of January 16th, new cases were being diagnosed at a rate of 1896 cases per 100K residents per week. We can expect rates to peak ~2000 cases per 100K residents/week, somewhat lower than some other states perhaps due to less testing availability. Ideally, a peak would be indicated by declining case counts and test positivity. Hopefully, next week’s update will bring confirmation of both.

Even if Arizona is moving down the backside of the wave, it is still important that all adults who previously completed the 2-dose primary sequence to obtain a booster, particularly those 50+ years of age. The risk of Omicron infection will remain extremely high for many weeks. Remember, the CDC defines high community transmission as levels >100 cases per 100K residents per week. We’re a far cry from that!

COVID-19 hospital occupancy (wards) continues to increase but should moderate soon. Hospitals will continue to be burdened by >30% occupancy in general wards and in the ICU for several weeks yet. Access to care continues to be restricted by both COVID-19 occupancy and staff shortages owing to infections among healthcare workers.

Weekly COVID-19 deaths likely peaked at 530 deaths the week ending December 12th. However, weekly totals in the upper-300s, lower-400s are likely for several more weeks. So far, at least 25,502 Arizonans have lost their lives to COVID-19.

Federal No Surprises Act Protects Arizonans From Surprise Medical Bills

The No Surprises Act (backed by Sen. Mark Kelly) went into effect a couple of weeks ago. It was passed in Dec. 2020 as part of a larger COVID relief bill called the Consolidated Appropriations Act of 2021. It protects patients when they receive emergency care or scheduled treatment from doctors and hospitals that aren’t in their insurance networks and that they did not choose. From now on, Arizonans are only responsible for their in-network cost-sharing in these situations.

A pre-existing Arizona law from 2019 (Senate Bill 1441) only created an out-of-network claim dispute resolution process covering cost sharing of at least $1,000.

CMS recently released several new resources to assist with the implementation of the No Surprises Act. The documents include a series of frequently asked questions related to the federal independent dispute resolution process and notice of consent requirements and frequently asked questions related to the uninsured and self-pay good faith estimates.

Maricopa County Department of Public Health Issuing $12M in Health Disparity Grants

 Here’s Where to Learn More

The Maricopa County Department of Public Health is offering up to $12 million in health disparities grant funding to agencies, municipalities, and other organizations among 5 regions in Maricopa County.

The funding will be used to help develop and work through strategies and interventions that consider systemic barriers and potentially discriminatory practices. COVID-19 and the ripple effects of economic and school closures, job loss, isolation, etc. has meant that many families and individuals did not see healthcare providers for regular checkups, increasing the likelihood of undiagnosed or unmanaged chronic illnesses, oral health, mental health, etc. 

Funding must support Policy, System and Environmental changes that can impact the disparity gap for vulnerable and marginalized populations. Funds are not intended for direct services or direct financial distribution to the public. Funding will be awarded via 5 opportunities for the following regions:

Visit www.maricopahealthmatters.org to learn more about our regions and community health needs assessment data.

Attend the Virtual Pre-Bid Conference to learn more about this opportunity Monday, January 24, 2022 at 1:00pm Join Here. Questions go to Cheryl Bucalo, Procurement Officer @ (602) 506-6886 or Cheryl.Bucalo@Maricopa.gov

Journal Article of the Week: Clinical outcomes among patients infected with Omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant in southern California

Clinical outcomes among patients infected with Omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant in southern California

Results: Our analyses included 52,297 cases with Omicron and 16,982 cases with Delta infections, respectively. Hospital admissions occurred among 235 (0.5%) and 222 (1.3%) of cases with Omicron and Delta variant infections, respectively. The adjusted hazard ratios for any subsequent hospital admission and symptomatic hospital admission associated with Omicron variant infection were 0.48 (0.36-0.64) and 0.47 (0.35-0.62), respectively.

Rates of ICU admission and mortality after an outpatient positive test were 0.26 (0.10-0.73) and 0.09 (0.01-0.75) fold as high among cases with Omicron variant infection as compared to cases with Delta variant infection.

Conclusions: During a period with mixed Delta and Omicron variant circulation, SARS-CoV-2 infections with presumed Omicron variant infection were associated with substantially reduced risk of severe clinical endpoints and shorter durations of hospital stay.

Legal Analysis for the OSHA & CMS Vaccine Requirement Regulations

National Federation of Independent Business v. Department of Labor & Ohio v. Department of Labor

Biden v. Missouri and Becerra v. Louisiana

Blog prepared exclusively for the Arizona Public Health Association

Jennifer L. Piatt, J.D.

On January 13, 2022, the Supreme Court of the United States issued two opinions addressing federal COVID-19 vaccination requirements. In National Federation of Independent Business v. Department of Labor and Ohio v. Department of Labor (“The OSHA Cases”), the Court blocked enforcement of the Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) COVID-19 Emergency Temporary Standard (ETS) for certain U.S. workplaces.

In Biden v. Missouri and Becerra v. Louisiana (“The CMS Cases”), the Court allowed a Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) rule to take effect requiring providers to ensure that staff are vaccinated against COVID-19. The Court’s decisions turn on the Justices’ interpretations of federal agency powers.

The OSHA Cases: On November 5, 2021, OSHA promulgated the ETS, generally requiring workplaces with more than 100 employees to implement employee COVID-19 vaccine-or-test policies. The ETS faced instantaneous opposition in courts across the nation by several states, businesses, and other organizations. On December 17, the Sixth Circuit rejected preliminary challenges to the ETS, finding in part that OSHA had clear authority to “protect workers against infectious diseases.”

The Supreme Court disagreed. In blocking enforcement of the ETS, the Court reasoned that the Secretary of Labor, through OSHA, does not have the authority to issue “broad public health measures.” Rather, under the Occupational Safety and Health (OSH) Act, the Secretary may regulate “occupation-specific risks” and set “workplace safety standards.”

The Secretary may not “regulate the hazards of daily life,”—public health threats which are not unique to the workplace. The Court left a small amount of room for a narrower standard addressing “special danger[s]” COVID-19 might pose in a particular working environment. In a blistering dissent, Justices Breyer, Sotomayor, and Kagan criticized the majority for placing limitations on OSHA’s authority that do not appear in statute.

The CMS Cases. CMS promulgated its own rule requiring COVID-19 vaccination of program participant staff on November 5, 2021, causing a similar flood of nationwide litigation. After several inconsistent lower court rulings, the Supreme Court allowed the CMS COVID-19 vaccine mandate to take effect, concluding that the Secretary of Health and Human Services was plainly authorized to issue it.

The Secretary can set requirements necessary for the “health and safety of individuals” receiving program services, and the CMS vaccine mandate clearly falls within the scope of that authority. Vaccine requirements in healthcare settings are common, they help keep patients safe, and CMS routinely imposes conditions of participation for receipt of funds. Justices Thomas, Alito, Gorsuch, and Barrett dissented, arguing CMS does not have the authority to issue a vaccine mandate.

The Court’s decisions are not the end of the road—in theory, they simply indicate whether the rules can or cannot be enforced while federal courts consider the legal challenges to them.

The ETS (ASHA Rule) has been blocked pending further litigation, while the CMS mandate can take effect. Still, with a clear 5-4 vote supporting the CMS mandate, and a clear 6-3 vote against the OSHA ETS, lower courts may be inclined to follow these interpretations.

Jennifer L. Piatt, J.D., LL.M., is a Research Scholar, Center for Public Health Law and Policy, Sandra Day O’Connor College of Law, Arizona State University.

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Which Entities & Employees are Covered Under the CMS Vaccine Requirement?

Now that the CMS vaccine requirement is settled law (probably) who does it apply to? Here is CMS’ Guidance Memo with the details. The staff vaccination requirement applies to the following Medicare and Medicaid-certified provider and supplier types:

Ambulatory Surgery Centers, Community Mental Health Centers, Comprehensive Outpatient Rehabilitation Facilities, Critical Access Hospitals, End-Stage Renal Disease Facilities, Home Health Agencies, Home Infusion Therapy Suppliers, Hospices, Hospitals, Intermediate Care Facilities for Individuals with Intellectual Disabilities, Clinics, Rehabilitation Agencies, Outpatient Physical Therapy and Speech-Language Pathology Services, Psychiatric Residential Treatment Facilities, Programs for All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly Organizations, Rural Health Clinics/Medicare Federally Qualified Health Centers, and Long Term Care facilities.